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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+9.55vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+6.20vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.33+4.68vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.53+11.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.70+5.30vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.61+4.91vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.25+1.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.16+0.12vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+2.29vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.88vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.93-1.61vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.19-3.71vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.31-0.51vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.62-3.35vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.69-4.68vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.90-2.17vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.84-7.46vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-10.16vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-9.51vs Predicted
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20University of Washington2.13-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.55Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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15.33Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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8.13Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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11.29University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.88SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.29Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.49University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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13.83Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.54Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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16.77University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| John Stokes | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 22.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| William Brown | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Martin Sterling | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Will Stocke | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Leif Evensen | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| David Hernandez | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 11.4% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.