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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.99vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92+5.33vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.97+4.54vs Predicted
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4Penn State University1.13+3.49vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59+0.41vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.70-1.00vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.67+0.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.35-1.90vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.73-1.03vs Predicted
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10American University-0.61+2.01vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.60-2.23vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.58-5.56vs Predicted
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13George Washington University-0.66-0.94vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.45-2.62vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.21-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99U. S. Naval Academy2.1618.9%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland0.926.9%1st Place
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7.54Old Dominion University0.975.1%1st Place
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7.49Penn State University1.136.3%1st Place
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5.41Old Dominion University1.5912.8%1st Place
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5.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7012.5%1st Place
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7.5Virginia Tech0.675.8%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Naval Academy1.359.3%1st Place
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7.97Christopher Newport University0.734.3%1st Place
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12.01American University-0.611.2%1st Place
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8.77Christopher Newport University0.604.0%1st Place
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6.44Hampton University0.588.1%1st Place
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12.06George Washington University-0.661.3%1st Place
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11.38University of Maryland-0.451.4%1st Place
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11.01William and Mary-0.212.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 18.9% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mason Cook | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Leo Robillard | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Miles White | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 26.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Brown | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Frank Wildi | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 28.5% |
| Sophie Grigg | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 20.1% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.