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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+5.50vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.44+5.94vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.20+5.50vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.52+5.26vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.37+3.10vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.48+1.20vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.84+1.55vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07-2.46vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.36-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.05-0.26vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.03-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.12-3.68vs Predicted
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13Fordham University-0.35-2.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-6.34vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-7.88vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-2.73-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.839.4%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College0.447.3%1st Place
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8.5Maine Maritime Academy0.205.5%1st Place
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9.26Connecticut College0.523.8%1st Place
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8.1Boston University0.376.0%1st Place
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7.2Jacksonville University0.488.5%1st Place
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8.55Christopher Newport University-0.845.8%1st Place
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5.54George Washington University1.0711.8%1st Place
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7.27University of Wisconsin0.366.8%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont-0.054.2%1st Place
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8.73North Carolina State University-0.035.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island0.126.5%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University-0.353.7%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.298.0%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.497.5%1st Place
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15.29University of Michigan-2.730.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lina Carper | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Sophie Brett | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
Ella Beauregard | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 1.6% |
Lucy Paskoff | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
Kaitlyn Liebel | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
Laura Smith | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Marissa Tegeder | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Ella Towner | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 2.9% |
Annika Milstien | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
Ariana Schwartz | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
Lauren Murray | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 4.7% |
Annika VanderHorst | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
Ella Demand | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
Julia Pressman | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.