Race 1A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryder Easterlin 20.7% 20.0% 17.7% 17.9% 12.1% 8.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliot Lee 8.7% 10.2% 12.0% 14.0% 15.7% 15.6% 14.0% 6.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Michael Valverde 3.0% 4.3% 3.9% 6.6% 7.3% 12.1% 18.7% 20.8% 15.2% 6.4% 1.7%
Carolyn Keck 12.9% 14.7% 15.8% 18.4% 14.9% 12.1% 7.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Ryan Clulo 10.7% 10.0% 13.1% 12.1% 17.3% 14.5% 12.3% 6.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 8.1% 9.4% 11.7% 13.1% 17.0% 16.0% 12.1% 8.4% 3.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Caroline Ritter 0.7% 2.3% 2.8% 2.4% 2.3% 5.2% 10.0% 15.8% 26.5% 22.2% 9.8%
Caitlin Chenus 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 3.8% 9.2% 15.6% 29.6% 35.2%
Stefan Peterson 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 3.8% 7.2% 13.4% 22.6% 22.2% 13.7% 5.9%
Geoffrey Montour 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 1.9% 2.2% 3.5% 6.7% 10.8% 26.0% 46.8%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 32.1% 25.4% 18.8% 9.7% 6.5% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.