← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.48+3.05vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.16vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.10-0.01vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-0.01+5.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Rochester-0.05+3.91vs Predicted
-
6Queen's University0.88+1.24vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.85-1.94vs Predicted
-
8Drexel University0.55-0.20vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.98-1.94vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania1.95-5.12vs Predicted
-
11University of Rochester-0.05-2.09vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University1.02-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.05Cornell University2.480.1%1st Place
-
2.16U. S. Naval Academy3.670.4%1st Place
-
2.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.100.2%1st Place
-
9.06Syracuse University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
8.91University of Rochester-0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.24Queen's University0.880.0%1st Place
-
5.06Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
-
7.8Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
-
7.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.980.0%1st Place
-
4.88University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
-
8.91University of Rochester-0.050.0%1st Place
-
6.79Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 10.5% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 41.1% | 26.2% | 16.7% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Butti | 21.1% | 24.5% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Walz | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Joe Franco | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Blake | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wood | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Franco | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| John Koehler | 1.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.