Race 2A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryder Easterlin 20.2% 19.9% 19.7% 16.7% 13.0% 7.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 14.8% 16.4% 15.4% 17.0% 15.1% 10.3% 8.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 9.4% 9.5% 11.6% 14.5% 14.6% 16.8% 13.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 2.7% 3.8% 4.3% 5.8% 8.1% 12.8% 18.3% 22.5% 13.8% 6.5% 1.4%
Caroline Ritter 1.4% 1.4% 2.8% 2.3% 1.6% 5.4% 9.4% 16.1% 24.4% 22.9% 12.3%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 29.3% 24.6% 18.4% 11.1% 8.9% 5.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliot Lee 10.0% 11.4% 12.4% 14.6% 14.2% 15.5% 11.9% 6.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Katherine O'Donnell 8.9% 9.6% 11.8% 12.7% 16.4% 14.8% 14.5% 7.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Stefan Peterson 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.6% 5.5% 7.3% 12.2% 23.5% 20.8% 14.2% 5.6%
Geoffrey Montour 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 4.0% 5.8% 13.9% 23.1% 47.9%
Caitlin Chenus 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 2.5% 4.3% 7.4% 18.1% 31.2% 32.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.