Race 3A

fall-fury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Carolyn Keck 12.9% 15.4% 16.6% 17.0% 15.6% 13.1% 5.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryder Easterlin 23.8% 18.8% 19.9% 14.9% 11.0% 6.8% 3.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 27.6% 24.8% 19.1% 12.3% 9.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 2.8% 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 8.9% 12.2% 19.2% 21.3% 15.0% 6.8% 0.8%
Ryan Clulo 9.3% 11.1% 12.1% 14.7% 14.5% 14.9% 12.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 8.5% 10.4% 10.4% 15.8% 13.0% 17.2% 12.9% 7.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Elliot Lee 10.2% 11.8% 12.1% 12.6% 16.5% 15.0% 12.9% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Caroline Ritter 1.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.6% 3.2% 5.6% 9.6% 17.5% 22.3% 23.4% 11.6%
Stefan Peterson 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 4.0% 5.0% 6.7% 12.1% 22.7% 23.6% 13.6% 5.1%
Caitlin Chenus 0.5% 0.2% 1.0% 0.5% 1.9% 2.2% 4.6% 8.2% 16.0% 28.0% 36.9%
Geoffrey Montour 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 4.2% 5.8% 13.5% 26.0% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.