Race 5A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryder Easterlin 21.6% 21.3% 18.6% 17.3% 11.9% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 16.9% 15.4% 17.5% 17.1% 11.6% 11.3% 7.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 28.8% 25.2% 18.2% 13.4% 7.6% 5.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 3.2% 3.6% 4.7% 5.8% 8.8% 13.6% 18.7% 20.6% 12.7% 6.9% 1.4%
Elliot Lee 9.9% 10.6% 12.4% 13.8% 16.1% 14.3% 11.1% 8.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Katherine O'Donnell 7.8% 11.2% 12.3% 12.8% 15.3% 16.7% 12.3% 7.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Caroline Ritter 1.5% 2.6% 2.1% 2.0% 3.7% 5.3% 9.9% 14.8% 25.8% 22.1% 10.2%
Bobby Sessions 7.7% 6.0% 9.6% 12.5% 15.3% 13.9% 16.3% 11.9% 5.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Geoffrey Montour 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 1.9% 1.8% 3.7% 4.9% 12.6% 24.2% 48.5%
Caitlin Chenus 0.6% 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 3.7% 3.8% 7.5% 15.2% 30.6% 35.0%
Stefan Peterson 1.5% 3.1% 3.1% 4.1% 6.0% 8.2% 13.5% 21.5% 21.5% 13.2% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.