Race 6A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryder Easterlin 21.6% 21.1% 19.9% 16.9% 10.5% 6.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 15.8% 16.9% 17.1% 17.5% 11.8% 10.5% 7.3% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 29.6% 25.0% 19.5% 12.4% 7.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 8.0% 9.5% 10.2% 13.2% 17.9% 15.9% 12.9% 8.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Caroline Ritter 1.6% 1.4% 2.9% 1.4% 3.4% 6.2% 8.9% 13.9% 24.8% 22.2% 13.3%
Elliot Lee 9.5% 10.7% 12.6% 13.5% 16.0% 15.6% 11.2% 7.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Stefan Peterson 2.7% 3.2% 2.4% 3.3% 6.7% 8.1% 13.8% 20.4% 21.6% 13.8% 4.0%
Michael Valverde 3.7% 3.7% 5.0% 8.0% 11.1% 13.4% 17.0% 17.9% 14.1% 5.0% 1.1%
Bobby Sessions 6.4% 7.6% 9.1% 11.5% 12.1% 15.3% 16.5% 13.3% 5.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Geoffrey Montour 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 4.2% 7.1% 12.3% 23.2% 48.1%
Caitlin Chenus 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 1.8% 3.3% 4.0% 7.9% 15.1% 31.9% 33.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.