Race 7A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Carolyn Keck 12.3% 16.3% 16.3% 17.9% 14.9% 11.7% 7.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 30.0% 24.2% 18.5% 14.3% 7.3% 4.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 3.8% 2.7% 5.3% 5.3% 8.1% 12.4% 19.2% 20.1% 15.1% 6.6% 1.4%
Ryan Clulo 8.0% 9.5% 11.4% 15.1% 16.6% 15.9% 12.8% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Stefan Peterson 2.4% 2.7% 2.6% 3.3% 5.9% 8.1% 12.6% 21.0% 22.8% 14.3% 4.3%
Elliot Lee 9.3% 9.4% 12.2% 13.5% 15.3% 14.9% 12.9% 8.9% 3.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Katherine O'Donnell 9.7% 9.9% 12.3% 12.7% 15.5% 15.6% 13.7% 6.3% 3.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Ryder Easterlin 22.2% 22.9% 18.0% 14.0% 10.6% 7.2% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Caitlin Chenus 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 3.4% 3.0% 7.5% 12.3% 28.8% 40.5%
Caroline Ritter 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 5.3% 9.4% 17.3% 26.0% 21.6% 10.0%
Geoffrey Montour 0.5% 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 1.1% 1.5% 4.4% 7.2% 13.5% 26.8% 43.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.