Race 8A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryder Easterlin 20.5% 20.9% 17.9% 17.0% 11.5% 8.3% 3.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 15.6% 15.0% 17.1% 16.0% 13.5% 11.5% 6.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 8.2% 8.7% 10.2% 12.6% 14.6% 17.5% 14.7% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 27.7% 24.1% 19.7% 13.0% 9.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 6.5% 9.2% 11.5% 19.2% 20.7% 12.9% 6.3% 0.8%
Elliot Lee 8.3% 11.8% 10.2% 13.9% 16.5% 15.3% 12.1% 7.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Ryan Clulo 11.3% 10.9% 14.3% 13.4% 15.2% 12.8% 13.1% 5.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Stefan Peterson 2.1% 1.7% 3.2% 3.4% 4.9% 10.0% 14.1% 20.5% 20.7% 15.7% 3.7%
Caroline Ritter 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 3.2% 3.9% 7.1% 18.6% 25.6% 21.9% 12.6%
Geoffrey Montour 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 1.1% 1.0% 2.0% 3.9% 5.5% 14.1% 21.8% 49.5%
Caitlin Chenus 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 1.1% 1.4% 3.0% 4.1% 7.3% 16.4% 32.0% 33.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.