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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.56+2.83vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.93+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.24-0.32vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.67+0.59vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.00-1.17vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University1.06-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.34-2.09vs Predicted
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9Iowa State University-0.52-1.41vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.99-1.56vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-2.03-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-1.81-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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3.06Northwestern University1.930.2%1st Place
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2.68University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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5.59Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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4.83Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.7Grand Valley State University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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7.59Iowa State University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.44Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Iowa-2.030.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Keck | 13.3% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 24.7% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 28.1% | 25.8% | 19.4% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Stone | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Stefan Peterson | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 21.4% | 20.8% | 15.4% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Ritter | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 16.6% | 25.6% | 22.5% | 12.6% |
| Geoffrey Montour | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 23.3% | 49.0% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 17.0% | 31.9% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.