Race 10A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Katherine O'Donnell 7.0% 9.9% 10.6% 14.1% 14.5% 17.3% 14.7% 8.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 30.9% 24.8% 17.6% 12.9% 6.9% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 13.6% 17.0% 15.8% 15.3% 16.3% 11.7% 7.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryder Easterlin 21.6% 20.4% 18.1% 16.6% 11.6% 5.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Stefan Peterson 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 2.8% 6.0% 8.0% 10.5% 20.1% 24.6% 15.6% 4.4%
Michael Stone 4.3% 5.5% 7.2% 7.1% 10.9% 14.5% 17.9% 16.9% 9.8% 4.7% 1.2%
Elliot Lee 10.8% 10.2% 14.1% 14.0% 14.7% 13.2% 13.3% 6.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Bobby Sessions 7.2% 6.9% 10.2% 12.9% 12.3% 14.7% 16.5% 11.3% 6.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Geoffrey Montour 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 2.4% 3.2% 5.4% 11.9% 23.6% 49.9%
Caroline Ritter 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 2.9% 4.1% 4.7% 7.1% 19.0% 24.8% 23.2% 9.8%
Caitlin Chenus 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 4.3% 8.1% 16.5% 30.1% 34.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.