Race 11A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlie Kutschenreuter 31.4% 24.3% 17.6% 12.9% 9.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 16.0% 15.7% 19.6% 15.9% 13.3% 9.5% 6.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryder Easterlin 19.4% 21.9% 20.3% 16.0% 10.3% 7.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 8.0% 10.7% 9.5% 13.6% 16.4% 16.1% 13.2% 8.0% 3.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Elliot Lee 9.7% 11.4% 12.6% 14.9% 14.3% 13.3% 14.0% 6.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Bobby Sessions 6.2% 7.1% 8.9% 11.5% 15.0% 17.9% 12.7% 12.1% 6.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Michael Valverde 4.6% 4.4% 5.2% 6.3% 9.9% 14.6% 18.7% 17.3% 13.2% 4.2% 1.6%
Caroline Ritter 1.6% 0.8% 1.8% 2.3% 4.1% 6.3% 9.0% 15.7% 24.1% 23.7% 10.6%
Caitlin Chenus 0.5% 1.1% 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 7.7% 14.1% 28.1% 39.6%
Stefan Peterson 2.1% 2.3% 3.5% 4.3% 4.8% 8.5% 13.1% 22.0% 21.9% 13.2% 4.3%
Geoffrey Montour 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 4.5% 6.5% 12.8% 27.6% 43.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.