Race 12A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryder Easterlin 21.6% 22.1% 19.1% 15.3% 12.4% 5.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 16.1% 15.2% 19.3% 16.3% 13.3% 10.0% 5.8% 3.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 29.5% 25.3% 18.2% 12.4% 8.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 7.7% 10.2% 9.7% 13.8% 16.1% 16.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Elliot Lee 9.7% 10.5% 13.2% 13.3% 15.8% 14.4% 12.7% 7.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Stefan Peterson 1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 4.7% 4.2% 7.7% 13.4% 20.2% 22.3% 15.6% 5.3%
Bobby Sessions 7.7% 8.0% 8.7% 12.9% 12.8% 16.9% 15.8% 10.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.1%
Michael Valverde 3.9% 3.4% 6.1% 7.0% 9.8% 15.1% 17.3% 17.1% 13.7% 5.9% 0.7%
Caitlin Chenus 0.5% 1.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.0% 2.2% 3.7% 7.6% 14.1% 26.9% 40.4%
Caroline Ritter 1.0% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 3.8% 5.2% 9.2% 17.0% 25.7% 22.3% 9.6%
Geoffrey Montour 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 2.8% 4.1% 6.6% 12.6% 26.8% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.