Race 1B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mason Chrabaszcz 13.2% 15.4% 17.2% 18.3% 16.4% 9.6% 7.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Herron 12.6% 16.0% 15.0% 15.6% 16.2% 12.7% 7.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 9.3% 9.2% 11.6% 13.7% 17.3% 17.3% 11.9% 6.5% 2.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Erin Sullivan 21.5% 20.3% 18.8% 17.4% 10.9% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Janssen 31.2% 26.2% 17.6% 10.8% 8.8% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Vogt 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 4.7% 8.4% 14.2% 21.7% 25.9% 15.7%
August Nagro 5.8% 3.4% 7.5% 8.6% 11.0% 17.4% 18.4% 14.6% 9.8% 2.4% 1.1%
Dylan Sabo 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 7.9% 15.3% 19.8% 27.4% 18.1%
Haley Beube 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 3.4% 5.6% 11.4% 17.7% 56.5%
Alex Hoffmann 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 3.6% 3.8% 7.7% 13.0% 18.9% 19.3% 20.8% 7.5%
Joseph Kurta 3.0% 4.1% 6.4% 7.3% 8.6% 14.8% 18.1% 18.1% 13.1% 5.5% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.