Race 2B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Erin Sullivan 21.3% 21.1% 20.4% 16.7% 11.1% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Herron 12.7% 15.1% 16.2% 16.5% 14.9% 11.4% 8.6% 4.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 13.0% 14.2% 17.2% 16.5% 17.0% 11.2% 7.2% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 8.6% 10.3% 11.3% 14.8% 16.7% 16.8% 12.8% 5.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Noah Janssen 32.0% 26.3% 16.7% 11.4% 7.3% 3.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Hoffmann 1.1% 1.6% 2.8% 2.9% 4.8% 6.0% 12.3% 18.5% 21.7% 18.9% 9.4%
August Nagro 5.3% 5.2% 6.6% 8.6% 11.3% 16.8% 17.1% 16.6% 8.1% 3.8% 0.6%
Joseph Kurta 3.9% 3.8% 4.9% 6.9% 9.4% 16.1% 17.1% 17.4% 12.6% 7.0% 0.9%
Emily Vogt 1.0% 1.4% 2.3% 2.4% 2.7% 5.6% 7.7% 14.6% 21.4% 24.6% 16.3%
Haley Beube 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 3.9% 5.9% 12.9% 17.8% 54.0%
Dylan Sabo 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 3.2% 4.0% 9.1% 13.2% 19.6% 27.3% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.