Race 3B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Erin Sullivan 19.9% 23.9% 19.4% 15.5% 11.6% 5.8% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Janssen 32.6% 23.4% 19.5% 13.5% 6.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 8.3% 9.5% 13.6% 12.0% 17.0% 16.5% 13.5% 7.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 13.4% 14.4% 15.6% 18.4% 15.7% 12.0% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Zachary Herron 12.9% 15.3% 15.3% 17.2% 15.4% 12.2% 7.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Vogt 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 3.7% 4.5% 8.5% 15.0% 21.8% 24.2% 16.1%
August Nagro 5.3% 5.4% 5.5% 8.8% 11.6% 16.0% 18.5% 17.0% 7.6% 3.7% 0.6%
Alex Hoffmann 1.9% 1.4% 2.5% 3.5% 4.9% 7.5% 11.4% 19.1% 21.3% 19.4% 7.1%
Dylan Sabo 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.2% 3.5% 3.1% 7.7% 12.3% 19.6% 26.5% 22.4%
Joseph Kurta 3.5% 4.0% 4.7% 6.9% 9.1% 16.8% 18.3% 15.8% 13.7% 5.8% 1.4%
Haley Beube 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 2.3% 3.6% 7.0% 11.7% 19.8% 52.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.