Race 4B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mason Chrabaszcz 13.2% 15.2% 17.1% 17.4% 14.9% 12.5% 6.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Janssen 32.1% 25.1% 19.1% 10.9% 7.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Sullivan 20.3% 22.1% 20.3% 15.8% 11.4% 5.7% 3.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 8.1% 10.6% 12.0% 14.2% 18.0% 15.7% 12.5% 5.7% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Joseph Kurta 3.5% 4.2% 4.6% 6.4% 8.8% 14.2% 18.1% 18.1% 14.3% 6.7% 1.1%
Zachary Herron 13.0% 14.0% 15.6% 17.0% 15.9% 10.6% 7.7% 4.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
August Nagro 5.4% 5.0% 6.3% 9.1% 11.4% 16.6% 17.9% 15.1% 9.2% 3.6% 0.4%
Alex Hoffmann 2.1% 0.9% 1.8% 3.3% 4.6% 8.3% 12.8% 19.5% 18.8% 18.8% 9.1%
Dylan Sabo 0.8% 1.5% 1.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 6.1% 12.8% 19.1% 28.8% 21.1%
Haley Beube 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 2.6% 3.4% 5.9% 12.2% 17.7% 54.9%
Emily Vogt 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 3.4% 6.8% 9.8% 15.1% 21.6% 23.9% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.