Race 5B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Erin Sullivan 21.8% 23.6% 17.3% 15.7% 13.6% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 9.8% 9.7% 13.6% 16.7% 13.7% 16.7% 10.7% 6.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 13.6% 13.1% 19.8% 15.9% 15.7% 11.4% 7.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Janssen 29.1% 26.3% 17.0% 15.2% 7.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Herron 14.3% 13.1% 15.4% 15.6% 17.4% 11.9% 7.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Kurta 3.0% 4.2% 5.0% 6.5% 8.4% 14.2% 17.3% 18.7% 13.7% 7.2% 1.8%
Emily Vogt 1.1% 2.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 4.8% 10.4% 15.4% 20.1% 25.0% 14.1%
Alex Hoffmann 1.9% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 4.2% 9.3% 13.7% 17.8% 18.4% 19.9% 8.6%
August Nagro 4.0% 5.4% 5.6% 7.4% 11.7% 16.8% 17.9% 15.2% 10.9% 3.6% 1.5%
Haley Beube 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 1.7% 2.0% 4.0% 7.0% 11.1% 17.3% 55.3%
Dylan Sabo 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 3.7% 4.1% 8.0% 12.6% 21.6% 26.4% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.