Race 6B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cailin Oakes 7.8% 11.2% 11.4% 15.5% 18.0% 16.3% 10.9% 5.8% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Herron 12.5% 14.8% 17.1% 15.7% 14.7% 13.5% 8.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 13.2% 15.5% 17.0% 16.4% 17.2% 10.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Janssen 29.5% 24.4% 18.1% 13.5% 9.1% 3.7% 0.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Sullivan 23.6% 21.6% 19.8% 14.7% 10.1% 6.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
August Nagro 4.3% 5.1% 5.7% 9.0% 9.9% 16.1% 19.9% 14.3% 10.8% 4.0% 0.9%
Joseph Kurta 4.9% 3.3% 4.6% 7.3% 9.7% 15.1% 18.3% 15.8% 13.6% 6.3% 1.1%
Emily Vogt 1.4% 1.1% 1.3% 2.5% 2.7% 5.6% 10.0% 17.8% 18.2% 24.1% 15.3%
Alex Hoffmann 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 4.4% 5.8% 10.8% 18.8% 22.0% 18.5% 10.4%
Haley Beube 0.5% 0.1% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 3.3% 7.1% 11.2% 18.8% 54.4%
Dylan Sabo 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 1.5% 2.9% 5.1% 7.9% 13.7% 19.6% 28.0% 17.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.