Race 7B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Erin Sullivan 21.7% 20.7% 20.6% 16.8% 11.6% 5.6% 1.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 14.1% 17.4% 17.5% 16.8% 13.4% 11.5% 6.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary Herron 11.8% 12.4% 15.2% 16.7% 17.3% 13.5% 8.5% 3.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 8.9% 10.1% 10.5% 16.3% 17.0% 16.1% 12.4% 5.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Noah Janssen 32.4% 25.3% 18.3% 11.7% 6.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
August Nagro 3.4% 5.3% 6.6% 6.7% 12.4% 15.5% 19.0% 15.1% 10.4% 4.7% 0.9%
Joseph Kurta 4.3% 3.6% 5.0% 6.9% 9.6% 14.3% 20.1% 16.3% 12.9% 6.1% 0.9%
Haley Beube 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 2.0% 3.5% 5.0% 13.5% 18.2% 54.4%
Alex Hoffmann 1.3% 2.2% 3.0% 2.5% 4.2% 6.4% 10.3% 20.3% 21.4% 19.5% 8.9%
Dylan Sabo 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 3.0% 4.9% 7.9% 13.4% 17.1% 26.7% 22.1%
Emily Vogt 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 3.0% 3.9% 6.3% 9.0% 16.2% 21.3% 23.9% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.