Race 8B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cailin Oakes 6.9% 10.5% 12.8% 16.4% 16.5% 17.8% 11.6% 5.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Zachary Herron 13.3% 13.7% 15.7% 16.1% 18.2% 11.4% 7.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Sullivan 21.6% 19.5% 20.4% 18.2% 10.6% 6.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
August Nagro 3.3% 4.3% 7.0% 6.2% 11.0% 15.8% 20.2% 16.3% 11.0% 4.4% 0.5%
Joseph Kurta 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 8.3% 7.3% 15.1% 18.1% 18.9% 12.2% 7.2% 1.2%
Noah Janssen 31.1% 25.5% 17.7% 12.1% 7.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 16.4% 17.5% 17.3% 14.7% 16.0% 10.3% 4.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Hoffmann 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 3.4% 4.2% 8.1% 14.4% 17.4% 20.2% 20.6% 6.8%
Dylan Sabo 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 3.6% 6.1% 12.6% 21.8% 24.4% 23.1%
Emily Vogt 0.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 4.6% 5.7% 9.3% 16.0% 20.5% 23.3% 14.9%
Haley Beube 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 1.4% 2.3% 4.3% 6.6% 10.5% 19.6% 53.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.