Race 9B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cailin Oakes 8.7% 9.4% 13.0% 15.8% 17.1% 15.4% 12.6% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Noah Janssen 31.8% 25.0% 17.8% 12.8% 7.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 12.8% 15.2% 17.1% 16.4% 16.3% 11.7% 7.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Herron 12.7% 11.3% 15.6% 17.9% 15.6% 13.2% 8.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Erin Sullivan 22.7% 24.9% 17.5% 14.3% 10.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Kurta 2.4% 5.1% 4.8% 5.4% 9.1% 13.9% 19.5% 16.5% 13.7% 7.0% 2.6%
Emily Vogt 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.7% 4.5% 9.5% 16.9% 19.4% 25.1% 13.5%
August Nagro 5.1% 4.1% 7.1% 8.4% 13.6% 16.3% 16.1% 15.6% 9.5% 3.7% 0.5%
Alex Hoffmann 1.3% 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 3.6% 6.5% 11.4% 19.0% 22.6% 18.0% 9.5%
Dylan Sabo 1.0% 0.7% 1.5% 2.2% 3.0% 5.1% 7.1% 12.4% 20.0% 27.8% 19.2%
Haley Beube 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 1.5% 2.6% 3.1% 7.5% 11.2% 17.8% 54.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.