← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.48+3.00vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.17vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.10-0.09vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.03vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.98+2.21vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.85-0.74vs Predicted
-
7University of Buffalo0.79+0.49vs Predicted
-
8Queen's University0.88-0.68vs Predicted
-
9University of Rochester-0.05+0.33vs Predicted
-
10University of Rochester-0.05-0.67vs Predicted
-
11Syracuse University0.38-2.58vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University0.55-3.75vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University-0.77-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0Cornell University2.480.1%1st Place
-
2.17U. S. Naval Academy3.670.4%1st Place
-
2.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.100.2%1st Place
-
5.03University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
-
7.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.980.0%1st Place
-
5.26Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
-
7.49University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
-
7.32Queen's University0.880.0%1st Place
-
9.33University of Rochester-0.050.0%1st Place
-
9.33University of Rochester-0.050.0%1st Place
-
8.42Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
-
8.25Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
-
10.61Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 12.7% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 38.1% | 31.8% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Butti | 24.3% | 22.7% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 6.1% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wood | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Blake | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Joe Franco | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 24.4% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Joe Franco | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 24.4% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 18.9% | 52.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.