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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.48+6.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+5.54vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.03+5.58vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.05+5.71vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.44+3.04vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.52+3.33vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.20+1.46vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07-2.65vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37-0.90vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-2.96vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-4.42vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.42vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.36-5.80vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.35-3.71vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-6.31vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-2.73-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Jacksonville University0.488.6%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.297.5%1st Place
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8.58North Carolina State University-0.035.5%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont-0.053.9%1st Place
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8.04Bowdoin College0.445.9%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College0.524.5%1st Place
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8.46Maine Maritime Academy0.205.5%1st Place
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5.35George Washington University1.0712.9%1st Place
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8.1Boston University0.376.7%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.498.8%1st Place
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6.58St. Mary's College of Maryland0.838.3%1st Place
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8.58Christopher Newport University-0.845.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Wisconsin0.368.4%1st Place
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10.29Fordham University-0.353.8%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island0.124.2%1st Place
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15.26University of Michigan-2.730.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Ella Towner | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 2.1% |
| Sophie Brett | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 1.8% |
| Ella Beauregard | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Ella Demand | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Lina Carper | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Murray | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 3.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.