Race 10B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zachary Herron 11.3% 13.9% 14.8% 19.8% 16.8% 14.0% 5.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Cailin Oakes 8.9% 11.1% 13.2% 14.8% 18.4% 13.1% 11.6% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
August Nagro 5.0% 4.5% 5.3% 7.3% 10.0% 16.7% 19.2% 16.1% 11.2% 4.3% 0.4%
Mason Chrabaszcz 13.5% 14.2% 17.5% 16.8% 16.8% 10.5% 7.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Erin Sullivan 23.6% 21.5% 18.9% 15.1% 9.5% 6.8% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Hoffmann 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 4.6% 7.3% 11.4% 17.5% 21.6% 19.2% 10.1%
Emily Vogt 1.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 5.4% 9.3% 15.9% 21.6% 22.5% 14.9%
Joseph Kurta 3.1% 4.0% 5.5% 6.8% 8.7% 14.8% 19.9% 16.8% 12.9% 5.6% 1.9%
Noah Janssen 31.4% 25.4% 17.5% 12.2% 8.3% 3.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Sabo 0.7% 0.5% 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 4.9% 6.3% 13.3% 19.8% 28.8% 18.7%
Haley Beube 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 1.5% 2.6% 4.6% 7.0% 10.2% 18.6% 53.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.