Race 12B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zachary Herron 11.3% 14.1% 15.0% 17.8% 16.5% 13.3% 8.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Erin Sullivan 23.4% 23.1% 18.2% 14.6% 10.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 13.4% 15.8% 16.4% 17.0% 15.0% 13.1% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Janssen 29.5% 23.4% 19.1% 13.9% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
August Nagro 4.4% 4.5% 7.1% 8.3% 10.3% 16.3% 18.9% 15.4% 10.3% 4.0% 0.5%
Cailin Oakes 9.2% 10.9% 13.2% 14.3% 17.7% 14.0% 11.5% 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Joseph Kurta 4.2% 4.1% 5.3% 7.0% 10.2% 13.7% 18.4% 17.8% 12.8% 5.0% 1.5%
Emily Vogt 1.7% 0.8% 1.0% 2.1% 2.9% 6.6% 10.7% 15.7% 19.9% 24.3% 14.3%
Alex Hoffmann 1.5% 2.0% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 5.5% 11.0% 19.9% 22.5% 18.2% 9.5%
Dylan Sabo 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 3.5% 4.5% 7.3% 14.1% 18.4% 26.1% 21.3%
Haley Beube 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 2.4% 4.3% 5.2% 11.2% 21.3% 52.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.