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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+3.33vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+0.95vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+2.03vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.59vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.15+2.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-0.02vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.33-0.38vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.42-1.40vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.51-0.12vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.26-0.53vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-0.90+0.65vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo-0.99-0.22vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo-0.99-1.22vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.35-0.72vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University0.55-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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2.95Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.03Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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2.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.4%1st Place
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7.4Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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6.62Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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6.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.420.0%1st Place
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8.88Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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9.47Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Buffalo-0.990.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Buffalo-0.990.0%1st Place
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13.28Penn State University-2.350.0%1st Place
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8.62Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Balk | 10.5% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 24.1% | 22.7% | 21.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 35.6% | 25.9% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Mares | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 8.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 22.7% | 34.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Wyles | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 23.0% | 32.5% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Wyles | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 23.0% | 32.5% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Tiffany Snyder | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 7.7% | 15.6% | 69.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.