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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Thomas Balk 11.2% 14.0% 16.0% 15.2% 13.5% 11.1% 9.2% 5.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Miller 37.9% 27.1% 16.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sebby Turner 7.8% 10.4% 11.8% 13.2% 14.8% 15.0% 9.7% 8.2% 5.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Zane Tinnell 3.0% 3.7% 7.0% 8.1% 9.6% 10.6% 14.1% 13.2% 12.4% 9.4% 5.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Clark Uhl 20.5% 23.1% 22.0% 13.9% 11.5% 4.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Devin Keister 5.2% 6.8% 6.8% 12.0% 13.2% 12.8% 13.2% 10.3% 9.0% 7.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Fowkes 3.4% 3.9% 6.2% 8.3% 8.1% 10.2% 12.5% 12.5% 13.4% 10.6% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexandra Mares 4.8% 5.0% 6.4% 8.7% 9.4% 13.2% 11.1% 12.4% 11.5% 9.0% 6.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Edwards 1.9% 2.4% 1.8% 2.9% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 9.1% 14.2% 17.5% 16.5% 10.4% 4.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 2.0% 1.7% 2.1% 3.4% 4.1% 6.7% 8.6% 12.0% 12.1% 13.7% 16.8% 11.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Austin Wyles 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 5.7% 10.0% 23.4% 34.0% 15.1% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 1.1% 1.0% 2.5% 2.7% 3.8% 4.6% 5.5% 9.1% 12.5% 14.0% 18.4% 15.9% 7.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Jacob Hare 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 2.5% 3.0% 2.9% 7.6% 11.7% 22.7% 33.4% 11.1% 0.0%
Austin Wyles 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 5.7% 10.0% 23.4% 34.0% 15.1% 0.0%
Tiffany Snyder 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.6% 2.7% 7.3% 14.9% 70.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.