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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+3.33vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.31vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+2.02vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.33+2.87vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14-1.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-0.03vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.15+0.03vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.42-1.39vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.51-0.13vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.55-1.19vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo-0.99+0.82vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.26-2.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.90-1.46vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.99-2.18vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-2.35-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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2.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.4%1st Place
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5.02Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.87Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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3.07Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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7.03Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.420.0%1st Place
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8.87Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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8.81Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Buffalo-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.42Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Buffalo-0.990.0%1st Place
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13.32Penn State University-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Balk | 11.2% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 37.9% | 27.1% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 20.5% | 23.1% | 22.0% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Mares | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Wyles | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 23.4% | 34.0% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 22.7% | 33.4% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Wyles | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 23.4% | 34.0% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiffany Snyder | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 70.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.