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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+2.91vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14-0.01vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+0.35vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.15+2.40vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.33+0.96vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.51+1.59vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.26+1.33vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-3.08vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.42-3.27vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.55-2.18vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo-0.99-0.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.90-1.47vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.99-2.21vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-2.35-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.4%1st Place
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4.91Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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2.99Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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4.35Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.4Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.96Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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8.59Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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9.33Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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6.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.420.0%1st Place
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8.82Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Buffalo-0.990.0%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Buffalo-0.990.0%1st Place
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13.33Penn State University-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 37.8% | 26.3% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.5% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 23.6% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 10.0% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Mares | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Wyles | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 22.5% | 33.8% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 24.0% | 30.3% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Wyles | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 22.5% | 33.8% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Tiffany Snyder | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 17.0% | 69.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.