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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Charles Miller 37.4% 25.5% 17.1% 10.4% 5.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Balk 11.8% 14.5% 15.6% 16.9% 15.0% 9.5% 8.9% 3.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sebby Turner 8.4% 10.1% 12.4% 13.5% 14.0% 12.7% 11.0% 7.9% 6.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Clark Uhl 23.3% 22.5% 20.0% 14.2% 9.5% 5.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Devin Keister 3.9% 6.0% 10.0% 11.2% 12.3% 13.8% 12.0% 12.0% 9.1% 6.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 0.6% 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 3.2% 4.1% 5.0% 8.9% 10.6% 16.9% 16.6% 17.7% 8.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 4.2% 6.7% 6.6% 7.5% 10.6% 13.0% 13.1% 18.2% 9.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Zane Tinnell 3.7% 5.6% 6.4% 7.5% 9.2% 11.4% 12.3% 12.5% 11.0% 9.5% 7.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Fowkes 3.2% 3.7% 3.9% 6.6% 8.0% 10.2% 12.0% 14.0% 14.4% 11.2% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Mares 3.5% 4.4% 6.2% 8.4% 9.9% 12.1% 13.5% 13.0% 12.9% 8.6% 5.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicole Edwards 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.7% 4.3% 7.1% 8.5% 10.3% 11.9% 16.9% 15.9% 11.3% 4.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Austin Wyles 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 2.0% 2.3% 1.8% 2.7% 5.9% 10.9% 23.2% 33.7% 14.7% 0.0%
Austin Wyles 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 2.0% 2.3% 1.8% 2.7% 5.9% 10.9% 23.2% 33.7% 14.7% 0.0%
Jacob Hare 0.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 3.7% 3.9% 6.4% 11.8% 22.8% 30.8% 13.1% 0.0%
Tiffany Snyder 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 6.0% 16.7% 69.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.