Race 5B

women-atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kaitlyn Liebel 7.3% 7.8% 7.6% 7.5% 8.2% 8.9% 7.6% 7.2% 6.9% 5.8% 6.6% 4.7% 5.5% 4.6% 3.2% 0.6%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 13.3% 11.7% 10.5% 10.2% 9.4% 9.2% 8.6% 6.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.3% 3.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Ella Beauregard 6.0% 6.3% 6.6% 5.8% 6.1% 5.5% 6.9% 6.1% 7.0% 8.0% 6.9% 5.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.3% 1.4%
Izzy Wu-Karr 4.5% 5.2% 4.2% 4.7% 5.0% 6.1% 5.1% 5.5% 6.8% 8.0% 7.6% 7.0% 9.0% 8.9% 10.2% 2.3%
Lina Carper 9.0% 10.2% 8.5% 8.6% 9.2% 7.7% 7.2% 7.9% 6.0% 6.2% 5.0% 5.2% 4.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Annika Milstien 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 6.9% 5.9% 6.7% 7.1% 7.9% 7.4% 8.4% 6.7% 7.8% 6.9% 1.1%
Lucy Paskoff 5.9% 5.7% 6.8% 6.7% 6.4% 6.0% 7.3% 7.1% 7.2% 6.4% 7.3% 7.6% 7.1% 6.5% 5.1% 1.0%
Ariana Schwartz 5.2% 5.0% 6.7% 6.2% 6.2% 5.7% 6.0% 6.7% 5.4% 7.3% 6.6% 8.2% 8.5% 8.1% 7.3% 0.9%
Marissa Tegeder 8.1% 8.5% 6.9% 8.2% 7.4% 7.1% 7.7% 7.1% 6.6% 6.6% 6.4% 5.3% 6.5% 4.3% 2.9% 0.4%
Annika VanderHorst 6.9% 7.1% 7.1% 6.3% 6.3% 7.6% 7.2% 7.0% 7.6% 7.3% 7.0% 5.8% 6.2% 5.7% 4.2% 0.7%
Laura Smith 6.1% 5.1% 5.5% 5.6% 5.8% 6.1% 6.6% 6.0% 7.4% 6.8% 8.3% 8.4% 6.7% 7.0% 7.4% 1.0%
Ella Demand 9.0% 7.8% 9.2% 7.3% 7.8% 6.3% 7.3% 7.2% 7.0% 5.9% 5.9% 6.4% 5.5% 4.2% 2.6% 0.5%
Sophie Brett 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.7% 7.2% 7.0% 6.7% 6.3% 7.6% 7.0% 6.3% 6.8% 5.9% 6.6% 4.9% 0.9%
Ella Towner 4.3% 4.3% 4.7% 4.8% 4.8% 4.3% 4.7% 6.5% 5.7% 5.0% 7.5% 8.1% 8.5% 11.1% 13.5% 2.3%
Anna Robertson 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.8% 3.6% 5.0% 4.5% 5.8% 5.2% 5.7% 6.6% 7.6% 9.0% 11.5% 17.1% 3.9%
Julia Pressman 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 5.3% 82.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.