← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.37vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.15+5.14vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.42+3.60vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.11+1.03vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.43-0.57vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University3.14-2.86vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-1.38vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.33-1.14vs Predicted
-
9Villanova University0.26+0.44vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University0.51-1.08vs Predicted
-
11Syracuse University0.55-2.21vs Predicted
-
12University of Buffalo-0.99-0.23vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Military Academy-0.90-1.45vs Predicted
-
14University of Buffalo-0.99-2.23vs Predicted
-
16Penn State University-2.35-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.4%1st Place
-
7.14Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
-
6.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.420.0%1st Place
-
5.03Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
4.43Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
3.14Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
-
5.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
6.86Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
-
9.44Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
-
8.92Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
-
8.79Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
-
11.77University of Buffalo-0.990.0%1st Place
-
11.55U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.77University of Buffalo-0.990.0%1st Place
-
13.34Penn State University-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 37.4% | 25.7% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Mares | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 10.0% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 21.6% | 22.8% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 21.5% | 15.1% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Wyles | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 22.8% | 34.1% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 24.2% | 30.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Austin Wyles | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 22.8% | 34.1% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Tiffany Snyder | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 17.5% | 69.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.