← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Charles Miller 37.5% 24.2% 17.5% 10.4% 6.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Balk 11.8% 14.7% 15.7% 16.0% 13.7% 12.1% 7.2% 5.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 2.1% 3.1% 2.9% 4.1% 4.4% 5.0% 8.4% 9.4% 12.9% 15.7% 17.7% 9.7% 3.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Clark Uhl 22.1% 23.6% 20.8% 13.9% 8.8% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sebby Turner 6.5% 8.9% 12.3% 15.2% 16.0% 11.3% 10.5% 9.3% 5.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zane Tinnell 3.6% 4.4% 5.1% 7.5% 9.8% 11.4% 12.6% 12.5% 12.5% 10.4% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Fowkes 3.2% 5.1% 6.4% 5.8% 7.3% 12.1% 11.4% 12.1% 13.5% 11.2% 7.4% 4.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 3.2% 4.2% 5.7% 5.4% 7.7% 11.8% 14.0% 17.3% 15.6% 8.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Alexandra Mares 3.9% 4.7% 5.3% 8.7% 10.0% 11.2% 15.0% 12.8% 11.3% 9.0% 5.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Devin Keister 5.0% 6.1% 8.7% 10.6% 13.3% 13.3% 13.8% 12.5% 8.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Edwards 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 4.9% 5.6% 7.0% 10.5% 13.5% 16.2% 17.2% 11.6% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Austin Wyles 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 3.2% 5.8% 10.9% 22.7% 33.8% 14.8% 0.0%
Jacob Hare 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 5.7% 11.4% 25.1% 30.1% 13.0% 0.0%
Austin Wyles 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 3.2% 5.8% 10.9% 22.7% 33.8% 14.8% 0.0%
Tiffany Snyder 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 3.1% 5.6% 17.0% 69.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.