← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.40vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.43+2.20vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University0.55+5.64vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University3.14-0.96vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.11+0.13vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute1.33+0.97vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.15+0.11vs Predicted
-
8Villanova University0.26+1.32vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.42-2.27vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-4.09vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University0.51-2.13vs Predicted
-
12University of Buffalo-0.99-0.22vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Military Academy-0.90-2.46vs Predicted
-
15University of Buffalo-0.99-3.22vs Predicted
-
16Penn State University-2.35-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.4%1st Place
-
4.2Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
8.64Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
-
3.04Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
-
5.13Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
6.97Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
-
7.11Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.32Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
-
6.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.420.0%1st Place
-
5.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
8.87Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
-
11.78University of Buffalo-0.990.0%1st Place
-
11.54U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.78University of Buffalo-0.990.0%1st Place
-
13.33Penn State University-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 37.5% | 24.2% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 11.8% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 22.1% | 23.6% | 20.8% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Mares | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Wyles | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 22.7% | 33.8% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 25.1% | 30.1% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Wyles | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 22.7% | 33.8% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Tiffany Snyder | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 17.0% | 69.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.