Race 6B

jack-boehringer-52

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kieran Cullen 9.4% 10.2% 13.3% 11.5% 12.2% 13.9% 11.7% 10.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Audrey Morin 11.2% 11.2% 13.4% 12.7% 13.0% 13.7% 11.5% 7.3% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre Thibodeau 17.9% 16.6% 15.2% 12.9% 12.3% 10.9% 8.3% 4.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 18.4% 19.3% 15.7% 14.2% 12.4% 9.4% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Andersen 7.4% 9.9% 11.9% 13.5% 14.2% 11.2% 12.7% 11.5% 5.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Miller 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 4.8% 6.2% 8.0% 12.2% 18.1% 20.2% 13.6% 5.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daisy Holthus 20.9% 17.6% 15.0% 16.0% 11.4% 9.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sajan Alagiri 7.7% 8.7% 7.7% 8.6% 10.8% 12.9% 15.0% 14.2% 9.4% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 2.4% 5.4% 11.2% 19.1% 29.0% 28.4% 0.0%
Antonia Leggett 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 3.2% 4.9% 7.9% 13.3% 21.3% 20.5% 14.7% 5.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
John Colby 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 5.0% 8.0% 15.1% 24.8% 21.9% 13.0% 5.7% 0.0%
Jesse Whipple 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.8% 1.0% 2.2% 3.5% 6.5% 11.0% 24.1% 26.3% 23.6% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 4.8% 6.1% 14.7% 25.1% 22.2% 10.5% 5.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 2.4% 5.4% 11.2% 19.1% 29.0% 28.4% 0.0%
Kristian Sonsteby 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 2.8% 3.9% 7.6% 17.3% 24.6% 40.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.