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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+2.82vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.53+3.63vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+0.59vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50-0.27vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.87+0.17vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.72+1.70vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95-2.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84-2.91vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo-2.07+3.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-1.95+2.27vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.14-2.14vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.47-2.02vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.16-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-2.07-1.58vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-2.41-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.2%1st Place
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5.63Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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3.59Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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3.73Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.17Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.7Villanova University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.1%1st Place
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5.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.1%1st Place
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12.42University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Military Academy-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.86Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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9.98Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.31Syracuse University-0.160.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
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12.76Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Thibodeau | 16.9% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 21.3% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 17.8% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Miller | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Cullen | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan McCue | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 9.1% | 18.7% | 34.0% | 28.5% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Whipple | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 10.7% | 22.6% | 28.8% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Antonia Leggett | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 1.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 21.5% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan McCue | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 9.1% | 18.7% | 34.0% | 28.5% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 6.7% | 18.4% | 25.6% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.