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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Pierre Thibodeau 16.9% 18.5% 15.5% 13.0% 11.7% 9.5% 7.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sajan Alagiri 6.4% 9.1% 9.9% 9.6% 10.8% 13.1% 13.3% 13.6% 8.0% 4.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 21.3% 15.6% 15.6% 14.5% 13.1% 9.0% 6.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daisy Holthus 17.8% 18.1% 15.4% 14.2% 11.7% 10.1% 7.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Andersen 8.0% 8.6% 11.3% 14.1% 12.1% 13.8% 11.8% 10.8% 6.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Miller 2.9% 2.8% 4.3% 4.2% 6.2% 6.6% 11.5% 16.4% 16.3% 17.8% 8.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Audrey Morin 12.6% 12.1% 11.4% 12.0% 13.3% 12.8% 10.9% 9.2% 4.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kieran Cullen 9.8% 11.1% 9.5% 12.5% 10.8% 13.8% 12.2% 10.5% 6.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 2.3% 3.1% 9.1% 18.7% 34.0% 28.5% 0.0%
Jesse Whipple 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 1.7% 2.9% 3.7% 10.7% 22.6% 28.8% 26.7% 0.0%
Antonia Leggett 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 1.8% 3.2% 4.0% 7.9% 10.9% 18.2% 20.8% 17.4% 8.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 0.5% 0.7% 1.7% 1.4% 2.8% 2.0% 3.3% 6.6% 12.2% 19.2% 23.7% 17.7% 6.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Julia Howard-Flanders 1.9% 0.7% 2.1% 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 5.5% 7.8% 16.4% 21.2% 21.5% 11.3% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 2.3% 3.1% 9.1% 18.7% 34.0% 28.5% 0.0%
Kristian Sonsteby 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.9% 1.9% 2.4% 6.7% 18.4% 25.6% 42.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.