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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+2.59vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+1.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84+2.09vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50-0.26vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.87+0.15vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.53-0.12vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95-2.35vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.72-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo-2.07+3.43vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.14-1.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-1.95+1.30vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.47-2.02vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.16-3.68vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-2.07-1.57vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-2.41-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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3.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.2%1st Place
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5.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.1%1st Place
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3.74Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.15Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.88Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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4.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.1%1st Place
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7.5Villanova University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
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8.88Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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12.3U. S. Military Academy-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.98Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.32Syracuse University-0.160.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
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12.74Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 19.9% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 17.6% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Cullen | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 18.2% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Miller | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan McCue | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 20.7% | 30.9% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Antonia Leggett | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Whipple | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 23.7% | 30.0% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 23.9% | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 22.3% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan McCue | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 20.7% | 30.9% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 16.7% | 27.5% | 41.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.