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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Pierre Thibodeau 18.0% 16.4% 15.7% 14.3% 11.7% 10.5% 6.9% 4.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Andersen 9.6% 12.3% 12.2% 11.3% 13.6% 13.2% 13.2% 8.5% 3.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sajan Alagiri 7.9% 6.9% 9.4% 8.6% 10.6% 12.8% 15.3% 15.4% 9.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daisy Holthus 18.2% 17.4% 15.8% 16.0% 10.2% 9.2% 7.9% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 17.5% 18.7% 16.0% 15.4% 11.1% 11.0% 6.1% 2.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kieran Cullen 10.0% 9.3% 10.8% 11.1% 14.2% 12.2% 13.3% 10.9% 6.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Audrey Morin 12.2% 11.9% 12.2% 12.6% 13.6% 13.8% 10.8% 8.2% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.9% 3.5% 6.1% 13.0% 18.3% 25.1% 29.2% 0.0%
Antonia Leggett 2.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 4.6% 6.9% 12.1% 21.9% 23.0% 12.3% 5.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Kathryn Miller 2.6% 3.1% 3.1% 4.9% 7.0% 7.4% 11.8% 17.6% 21.1% 12.4% 6.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
John Colby 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 1.3% 4.5% 9.6% 13.8% 24.8% 22.5% 13.6% 4.8% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 4.4% 7.0% 12.3% 24.9% 20.0% 14.4% 6.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Jesse Whipple 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 2.1% 3.2% 7.3% 12.0% 21.4% 29.5% 21.5% 0.0%
Kristian Sonsteby 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 3.9% 9.2% 15.8% 23.2% 42.7% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.9% 3.5% 6.1% 13.0% 18.3% 25.1% 29.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.