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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Sajan Alagiri 6.4% 8.7% 8.9% 10.6% 10.8% 12.1% 15.6% 12.8% 8.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre Thibodeau 18.5% 16.8% 13.2% 16.2% 14.6% 9.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 20.2% 17.9% 17.7% 12.6% 10.3% 10.8% 6.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Andersen 9.5% 9.5% 12.0% 11.3% 13.4% 12.0% 14.8% 9.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daisy Holthus 16.4% 17.5% 16.9% 13.5% 13.4% 9.9% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Audrey Morin 10.7% 11.1% 11.2% 12.6% 12.4% 12.7% 12.9% 8.7% 5.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kieran Cullen 11.4% 10.4% 10.8% 13.0% 11.8% 12.3% 14.5% 10.1% 4.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Antonia Leggett 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 3.2% 3.7% 5.2% 5.8% 13.6% 19.7% 20.4% 12.7% 6.1% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
John Colby 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 1.2% 4.8% 8.0% 16.1% 25.5% 22.6% 11.7% 4.4% 0.0%
Kathryn Miller 2.6% 3.4% 3.7% 3.9% 6.2% 9.5% 9.6% 18.7% 22.0% 12.7% 6.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 3.0% 5.2% 12.0% 18.6% 28.6% 29.0% 0.0%
Kristian Sonsteby 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 4.2% 6.6% 16.3% 24.7% 43.0% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 3.4% 2.6% 7.6% 15.6% 23.9% 21.2% 12.4% 5.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Jesse Whipple 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 1.8% 3.2% 7.3% 12.8% 22.5% 27.3% 21.8% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 3.0% 5.2% 12.0% 18.6% 28.6% 29.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.