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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.53+4.66vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+1.73vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+0.55vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.87+1.04vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50-1.23vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95-1.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84-2.15vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.14+0.55vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.01+1.68vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.72-2.47vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo-2.07+1.34vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-2.41+0.72vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.47-3.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-1.95-1.96vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo-2.07-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.2%1st Place
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3.55Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.04Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.77Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.1%1st Place
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4.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.1%1st Place
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8.55Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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10.68Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.53Villanova University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
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12.72Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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9.67Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Military Academy-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sajan Alagiri | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 18.5% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 20.2% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 16.4% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Cullen | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonia Leggett | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 16.1% | 25.5% | 22.6% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Miller | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 18.7% | 22.0% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan McCue | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 28.6% | 29.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 16.3% | 24.7% | 43.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 7.6% | 15.6% | 23.9% | 21.2% | 12.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Whipple | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 22.5% | 27.3% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Brendan McCue | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 28.6% | 29.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.