Race 1A

lark-invite-central-series-one

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Javier De urdanibia panos 36.7% 26.1% 17.5% 10.5% 5.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucy Wilmot 10.1% 13.5% 18.7% 17.8% 17.8% 11.1% 6.6% 3.6% 0.8%
Matthew Keller 1.9% 2.7% 4.2% 4.9% 5.3% 10.5% 17.4% 26.6% 26.5%
Ivan Shestopalov 23.3% 25.0% 17.6% 16.9% 9.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Austen Freda 8.7% 10.5% 13.5% 13.1% 16.4% 15.3% 12.5% 7.1% 2.9%
Lindsay Powers 4.8% 5.3% 8.4% 9.4% 11.7% 19.0% 21.3% 13.6% 6.5%
Christian Moffitt 9.2% 11.5% 12.4% 18.1% 19.0% 13.9% 9.4% 5.1% 1.4%
John Duncan 3.4% 4.3% 5.0% 6.5% 9.9% 15.5% 19.7% 21.2% 14.5%
Danielle Elson 1.9% 1.1% 2.7% 2.8% 4.7% 7.2% 10.3% 22.1% 47.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.