Race 2A

lark-invite-central-series-one

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ivan Shestopalov 22.1% 22.4% 19.9% 15.6% 10.3% 5.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Austen Freda 5.6% 8.5% 11.3% 14.3% 18.1% 16.4% 14.2% 8.7% 2.9%
Javier De urdanibia panos 37.2% 25.7% 16.9% 12.6% 4.4% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucy Wilmot 13.8% 17.4% 15.7% 19.1% 14.9% 10.6% 5.8% 2.4% 0.3%
John Duncan 2.8% 4.8% 7.1% 8.2% 11.4% 13.4% 18.6% 19.1% 14.6%
Danielle Elson 0.8% 2.2% 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 7.5% 10.6% 23.3% 46.6%
Lindsay Powers 4.7% 4.8% 8.0% 7.9% 13.5% 19.4% 20.0% 14.6% 7.1%
Christian Moffitt 10.7% 11.8% 14.6% 15.5% 15.8% 14.2% 10.4% 5.7% 1.3%
Matthew Keller 2.3% 2.4% 4.3% 3.7% 7.9% 9.7% 16.9% 25.6% 27.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.