Race 3A

lark-invite-central-series-one

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Javier De urdanibia panos 35.2% 27.4% 16.1% 11.1% 5.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucy Wilmot 9.8% 15.3% 17.2% 16.2% 15.2% 12.5% 8.7% 3.6% 1.5%
Ivan Shestopalov 22.0% 20.8% 19.7% 14.2% 11.5% 8.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Lindsay Powers 5.1% 4.3% 7.6% 10.4% 10.9% 16.0% 17.5% 17.6% 10.6%
Austen Freda 7.6% 10.5% 13.2% 14.6% 12.3% 13.4% 13.5% 11.2% 3.7%
Rebecca Read 9.4% 10.0% 12.6% 14.8% 17.7% 13.2% 11.3% 8.4% 2.6%
Charlotte Lenz 5.2% 5.0% 5.8% 9.6% 12.5% 16.0% 19.4% 17.8% 8.7%
Danielle Elson 1.4% 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 3.7% 4.3% 8.7% 15.8% 59.0%
Evan Robison 4.3% 4.9% 5.5% 6.1% 10.4% 13.1% 17.7% 24.1% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.