Race 5A

lark-invite-central-series-one

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lucy Wilmot 12.9% 14.5% 16.4% 15.7% 16.3% 11.8% 7.3% 4.3% 0.8%
Austen Freda 5.2% 7.6% 11.0% 16.1% 14.8% 15.2% 14.9% 11.0% 4.2%
Rebecca Read 7.9% 10.3% 14.3% 13.7% 15.6% 15.1% 13.9% 7.7% 1.5%
Lindsay Powers 4.6% 5.5% 8.4% 10.9% 11.1% 13.4% 17.0% 18.3% 10.8%
Ivan Shestopalov 24.3% 22.6% 18.2% 11.8% 11.2% 6.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Charlotte Lenz 4.9% 6.4% 6.4% 10.8% 11.4% 15.7% 17.8% 17.1% 9.5%
Javier De urdanibia panos 34.9% 25.9% 18.0% 11.3% 5.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Danielle Elson 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 3.6% 5.7% 7.8% 15.3% 59.8%
Evan Robison 4.1% 5.1% 5.0% 7.5% 10.2% 13.7% 16.5% 24.6% 13.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.