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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+2.98vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+0.55vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+0.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.96+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15-0.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.52-0.19vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.44-1.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.27-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.19-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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2.55Boston University3.490.3%1st Place
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3.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.2%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.0Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.26Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 14.0% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 32.1% | 25.6% | 18.8% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 22.4% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Austen Freda | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 8.5% |
| Lindsay Powers | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 9.3% |
| Evan Robison | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 16.1% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.