Race 1A

mt-hope-bay

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julien Guiot 11.2% 8.6% 13.5% 11.1% 12.2% 10.4% 10.6% 8.4% 6.1% 3.8% 3.3% 0.8%
Andrew Widmeier 11.4% 12.5% 13.4% 12.4% 9.1% 9.8% 10.3% 8.7% 6.3% 3.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Alp Rodopman 20.9% 17.5% 15.5% 12.5% 11.6% 8.0% 6.3% 3.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Gershuny 2.8% 3.5% 2.9% 4.7% 6.4% 6.4% 7.9% 9.0% 10.5% 12.7% 16.8% 16.4%
Dylan DiMarchi 16.2% 16.5% 14.7% 11.0% 10.4% 9.7% 6.8% 6.1% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Matthew Schryver 5.7% 8.2% 7.4% 7.8% 8.4% 9.1% 12.0% 9.4% 11.0% 9.9% 6.7% 4.4%
Zachary Jordan 6.2% 5.7% 7.3% 7.3% 7.7% 8.9% 8.4% 8.7% 11.0% 11.4% 11.4% 6.0%
Sean Beaulieu 10.1% 10.3% 8.1% 10.6% 11.3% 8.5% 8.9% 10.7% 8.4% 6.5% 4.0% 2.6%
Julia Leighton 5.1% 5.6% 7.5% 8.0% 8.4% 10.5% 10.3% 8.7% 11.0% 11.0% 9.6% 4.3%
Erin Coyne 2.1% 2.7% 2.0% 2.9% 2.6% 3.9% 4.1% 6.3% 8.1% 9.7% 16.8% 38.8%
leif Bergstrom 4.7% 4.3% 5.6% 7.4% 7.3% 8.3% 7.5% 12.1% 11.0% 12.2% 10.5% 9.1%
Joshua Stone 3.6% 4.6% 2.1% 4.3% 4.6% 6.5% 6.9% 8.5% 9.9% 14.8% 17.3% 16.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.