← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.9% 4.2% 4.7% 5.8% 6.0% 5.0% 5.9% 6.2% 6.9% 6.7% 6.8% 8.1% 9.6% 9.0% 10.2% 1.4%
Lina Carper 10.4% 9.2% 9.4% 9.7% 8.1% 9.2% 7.4% 7.8% 5.5% 6.2% 5.8% 5.1% 3.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 13.0% 11.6% 11.7% 9.3% 10.0% 8.6% 7.4% 6.9% 5.2% 5.4% 3.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Ella Towner 4.3% 4.5% 4.7% 4.2% 3.9% 5.2% 5.3% 5.9% 7.0% 7.4% 5.8% 9.3% 7.8% 10.5% 11.7% 2.3%
Lucy Paskoff 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 6.5% 5.7% 6.2% 6.9% 6.3% 6.5% 6.8% 6.5% 8.2% 7.6% 6.9% 4.6% 1.4%
Annika Milstien 5.5% 6.0% 4.9% 7.1% 6.2% 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 7.0% 7.1% 7.0% 7.4% 8.8% 6.7% 6.3% 1.7%
Ella Beauregard 5.9% 5.2% 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 6.2% 6.5% 8.0% 6.8% 7.1% 8.8% 6.5% 0.8%
Laura Smith 5.0% 6.2% 6.4% 5.9% 6.5% 6.9% 6.9% 6.0% 6.3% 7.0% 7.3% 7.8% 7.0% 7.5% 6.6% 0.8%
Sophie Brett 6.7% 6.9% 6.7% 6.0% 6.7% 7.1% 7.1% 7.0% 8.4% 6.9% 7.1% 6.8% 6.6% 5.3% 4.3% 0.4%
Celia Houston 9.2% 9.1% 9.5% 10.2% 9.0% 8.8% 7.5% 7.8% 6.3% 5.7% 5.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Marissa Tegeder 7.5% 9.4% 6.6% 8.2% 7.8% 7.1% 7.2% 7.4% 7.3% 6.5% 7.1% 5.2% 5.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.4%
Kaitlyn Liebel 7.7% 6.9% 7.8% 7.6% 7.7% 7.3% 7.4% 7.4% 7.1% 8.0% 7.6% 5.9% 4.8% 3.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Annika VanderHorst 7.1% 6.9% 7.4% 6.3% 7.2% 6.9% 7.5% 6.7% 6.8% 6.5% 7.8% 5.9% 6.6% 5.3% 4.6% 0.6%
Emaline Ouellette 3.4% 3.4% 4.0% 3.4% 4.8% 4.8% 6.2% 5.5% 7.2% 6.3% 5.9% 7.0% 8.2% 10.5% 16.5% 2.9%
Lauren Murray 3.0% 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 3.9% 4.3% 4.2% 4.7% 5.7% 6.0% 7.2% 8.4% 9.5% 12.1% 16.6% 3.7%
Julia Pressman 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 3.0% 5.1% 83.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.