← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College0.52+8.24vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+4.28vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.07+2.52vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont-0.05+5.53vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.37+3.11vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-0.03+2.50vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy0.20+1.45vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.38vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College0.44-1.17vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-3.69vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin0.36-3.85vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University0.48-4.73vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.28vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island-0.20-3.99vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University-0.35-4.60vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-2.73-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.24Connecticut College0.523.9%1st Place
-
6.28St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8310.4%1st Place
-
5.52George Washington University1.0713.0%1st Place
-
9.53University of Vermont-0.054.3%1st Place
-
8.11Boston University0.377.0%1st Place
-
8.5North Carolina State University-0.035.5%1st Place
-
8.45Maine Maritime Academy0.205.9%1st Place
-
8.38Christopher Newport University-0.845.0%1st Place
-
7.83Bowdoin College0.446.7%1st Place
-
6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.819.2%1st Place
-
7.15University of Wisconsin0.367.5%1st Place
-
7.27Jacksonville University0.487.7%1st Place
-
7.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.297.1%1st Place
-
10.01University of Rhode Island-0.203.4%1st Place
-
10.4Fordham University-0.353.0%1st Place
-
15.29University of Michigan-2.730.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 1.4% |
Lina Carper | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Ella Towner | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 2.3% |
Lucy Paskoff | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
Annika Milstien | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
Ella Beauregard | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
Laura Smith | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
Sophie Brett | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
Celia Houston | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Marissa Tegeder | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Annika VanderHorst | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
Emaline Ouellette | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 2.9% |
Lauren Murray | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 3.7% |
Julia Pressman | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.