Race 3A

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dylan DiMarchi 16.6% 13.8% 13.6% 13.5% 11.2% 10.8% 6.9% 6.0% 4.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
Alp Rodopman 19.6% 20.0% 15.6% 11.6% 8.8% 9.9% 7.0% 3.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Widmeier 13.0% 10.7% 13.0% 10.0% 10.5% 11.0% 10.4% 9.3% 5.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.8%
Sean Beaulieu 7.1% 9.9% 9.6% 11.8% 11.8% 8.4% 8.8% 9.9% 9.1% 6.5% 4.9% 2.2%
Ryan Gershuny 2.9% 4.3% 3.9% 4.1% 6.4% 6.1% 6.7% 8.2% 9.6% 12.4% 17.6% 17.8%
Julien Guiot 12.4% 11.0% 10.5% 11.4% 11.4% 10.6% 10.4% 8.5% 5.9% 4.9% 2.6% 0.4%
leif Bergstrom 6.1% 5.7% 5.5% 7.9% 7.6% 9.3% 8.1% 10.8% 10.8% 11.7% 10.1% 6.4%
Joshua Stone 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 4.5% 5.7% 5.9% 6.5% 7.9% 9.1% 13.9% 17.6% 16.6%
Julia Leighton 5.4% 5.4% 7.6% 6.9% 8.6% 9.7% 9.9% 10.5% 11.6% 10.3% 8.7% 5.4%
Matthew Schryver 7.0% 7.2% 8.0% 8.2% 8.0% 9.9% 10.2% 10.8% 11.0% 8.7% 7.1% 3.9%
Zachary Jordan 4.9% 4.0% 7.1% 7.7% 7.0% 6.7% 10.4% 10.4% 11.6% 11.6% 11.7% 6.9%
Erin Coyne 1.4% 2.9% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 1.7% 4.7% 4.3% 8.8% 12.7% 16.8% 39.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.