Race 4A

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sean Beaulieu 8.7% 7.5% 10.9% 9.9% 10.6% 10.3% 10.1% 10.0% 9.1% 5.8% 4.8% 2.3%
Ryan Gershuny 2.9% 3.4% 3.3% 5.1% 5.6% 6.1% 7.7% 8.4% 10.2% 15.6% 15.1% 16.6%
Dylan DiMarchi 17.2% 13.0% 14.3% 13.6% 11.1% 11.6% 6.7% 4.9% 3.6% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Joshua Stone 3.1% 2.7% 4.1% 4.6% 5.9% 7.0% 6.0% 9.7% 9.5% 13.5% 17.5% 16.4%
Andrew Widmeier 11.7% 13.7% 11.0% 12.7% 11.8% 8.0% 9.1% 7.3% 6.8% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0%
Julia Leighton 5.0% 6.4% 7.0% 5.9% 8.0% 8.8% 10.0% 11.2% 12.1% 9.7% 9.8% 6.1%
Matthew Schryver 5.9% 8.2% 8.2% 9.7% 9.1% 8.0% 10.1% 8.5% 11.8% 9.4% 6.8% 4.3%
Julien Guiot 12.8% 13.3% 9.2% 11.4% 10.1% 10.4% 11.1% 8.2% 6.0% 3.5% 2.9% 1.1%
Alp Rodopman 20.8% 18.5% 17.7% 12.9% 8.3% 8.4% 6.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Erin Coyne 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.0% 3.2% 3.5% 5.5% 5.7% 7.2% 10.5% 16.9% 38.0%
leif Bergstrom 4.2% 6.0% 5.7% 5.4% 8.1% 9.2% 7.9% 10.8% 11.7% 11.5% 11.9% 7.6%
Zachary Jordan 5.6% 4.8% 5.7% 6.8% 8.2% 8.7% 9.2% 11.4% 10.2% 11.8% 11.0% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.