Race 5A

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dylan DiMarchi 12.7% 12.2% 12.1% 12.0% 11.3% 10.6% 10.9% 7.1% 5.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.7%
Julien Guiot 8.8% 10.7% 10.2% 8.4% 11.0% 9.0% 13.9% 8.1% 7.8% 8.4% 2.9% 0.8%
Spencer Cartwright 17.8% 14.2% 14.5% 13.1% 12.3% 9.9% 8.3% 4.4% 2.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Kimberly Morecraft 4.3% 4.6% 4.8% 7.3% 7.8% 8.5% 8.0% 12.7% 12.0% 11.4% 12.2% 6.4%
Sean Beaulieu 6.4% 8.4% 7.1% 9.5% 8.3% 11.4% 8.7% 11.7% 11.0% 8.3% 6.1% 3.1%
Alp Rodopman 18.4% 13.5% 15.4% 12.5% 10.0% 10.1% 7.3% 5.4% 4.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2%
John Mastrandrea 10.8% 11.1% 12.5% 9.3% 10.7% 9.8% 10.9% 9.5% 8.1% 3.7% 3.0% 0.6%
Julia Leighton 6.0% 5.9% 4.4% 6.0% 7.4% 7.8% 6.7% 11.1% 12.0% 14.8% 11.9% 6.0%
Andrew Widmeier 8.5% 10.9% 12.5% 11.9% 10.1% 11.0% 9.0% 11.0% 7.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.6%
Erin Coyne 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 4.6% 7.6% 10.7% 17.0% 43.2%
Ryan Gershuny 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 4.7% 5.1% 4.5% 5.9% 6.7% 10.1% 15.8% 21.8% 18.7%
Joshua Stone 2.4% 4.2% 2.0% 3.2% 3.4% 4.4% 7.2% 7.7% 12.2% 13.9% 19.8% 19.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.