Race 6A

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dylan DiMarchi 13.0% 11.9% 10.6% 14.1% 11.4% 11.4% 9.0% 6.4% 5.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.5%
Alp Rodopman 15.7% 15.9% 13.1% 14.3% 11.1% 10.4% 7.6% 5.1% 3.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
John Mastrandrea 10.7% 9.5% 10.9% 11.8% 10.6% 10.1% 12.2% 9.0% 7.3% 5.1% 2.0% 0.8%
Erin Coyne 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 3.1% 1.4% 3.2% 4.1% 4.6% 7.8% 11.1% 18.2% 42.3%
Julien Guiot 8.3% 10.8% 9.9% 10.4% 11.6% 9.7% 9.3% 10.1% 9.1% 6.1% 3.6% 1.1%
Sean Beaulieu 7.0% 7.7% 8.7% 6.9% 9.3% 10.4% 9.9% 12.1% 11.0% 8.3% 6.2% 2.5%
Kimberly Morecraft 4.9% 5.3% 6.7% 6.5% 7.3% 8.1% 8.3% 10.9% 11.8% 13.4% 10.3% 6.5%
Andrew Widmeier 11.5% 10.4% 11.1% 8.9% 11.1% 9.0% 10.7% 10.6% 7.1% 4.9% 3.6% 1.1%
Spencer Cartwright 17.2% 17.1% 17.0% 11.2% 11.7% 8.5% 8.7% 4.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Joshua Stone 3.4% 2.8% 3.3% 3.7% 3.7% 5.7% 5.5% 8.6% 10.4% 14.9% 19.4% 18.6%
Ryan Gershuny 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 4.2% 6.0% 5.6% 7.7% 9.6% 15.8% 19.9% 20.4%
Julia Leighton 5.0% 4.4% 4.4% 5.9% 6.6% 7.5% 9.1% 10.7% 13.7% 13.1% 13.6% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.