Race 7A

mt-hope-bay

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dylan DiMarchi 13.1% 12.6% 11.9% 13.0% 11.1% 9.8% 10.2% 7.0% 5.2% 3.6% 2.2% 0.3%
John Mastrandrea 9.9% 11.8% 11.9% 10.5% 10.2% 10.6% 9.2% 9.6% 8.4% 4.0% 3.1% 0.8%
Alp Rodopman 16.4% 13.9% 16.9% 10.4% 13.1% 9.2% 8.4% 6.1% 3.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Erin Coyne 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 3.3% 1.6% 3.7% 3.6% 5.1% 8.1% 11.3% 16.5% 43.2%
Julien Guiot 9.6% 9.7% 10.5% 10.4% 11.1% 8.3% 10.5% 7.8% 10.3% 6.6% 4.1% 1.1%
Julia Leighton 4.1% 5.3% 5.8% 5.6% 5.4% 7.3% 11.0% 10.3% 12.1% 13.2% 12.5% 7.4%
Kimberly Morecraft 5.5% 5.5% 5.6% 7.4% 8.0% 8.7% 7.7% 10.6% 10.3% 12.9% 11.3% 6.5%
Spencer Cartwright 18.8% 17.7% 12.4% 11.0% 11.7% 10.0% 7.4% 5.1% 3.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Ryan Gershuny 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.7% 3.7% 6.7% 6.5% 9.1% 12.5% 14.2% 19.7% 15.9%
Andrew Widmeier 9.7% 10.1% 10.8% 12.0% 9.9% 9.9% 10.3% 9.9% 7.5% 5.4% 3.7% 0.8%
Joshua Stone 2.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 8.1% 8.8% 15.0% 19.5% 21.6%
Sean Beaulieu 6.7% 7.4% 7.1% 10.0% 8.6% 10.3% 9.7% 11.3% 10.4% 10.4% 6.1% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.